Understanding The ‘Even Money Proposition’ In Blackjack

Understanding The 'Even Money Proposition' In Blackjack

Blackjack is a fan favorite when it comes to table poker. This is the game that most veterans show their skills at and many newbies wish to master. Well, there are reasons for that. This game is as entertaining as it is challenging. However, it is not at all easy for people wanting to master it. You need to invest enough time to study the game properly. With all its rules and ethics, and positions to play at. That includes all the strategies, both common and uncommon ones. 

You also need to master certain table manners and signals that happen during this game. This can really make all the difference in a game for you. It will also determine what sort of welcome you are going to get at a table. And the most important thing you need to learn is to choose a suitable table for you. Now, this is not as easy as it sounds. 

However, as with all the rules and strategies, there is something else you need to learn about. That is the even-money proposition in blackjack. You might have heard how this is a sure-shot win. And also might have been insisted on by dealers and pit bosses. But there are some things you must learn about this win. This is why here, we are going to discuss what the even-money proposition is in Blackjack. How does it work, and also is it truly worth it? So read on and choose wisely on your next casino visit.

What is even money in blackjack?

This is a proposition that comes into play when a hand is dealt and the dealer shows an Ace upcard. For example, if you wager $20 and get a blackjack, but the dealer shows their upcard and you think you have a reason to worry. In this situation, you can ask for even money. What this means is that before the dealer looks at their downcard, they will pay you $20 and withdraw your cards from the layout. Here you get $20 for sure, even if the dealer then hit a blackjack themselves.

How does it work in blackjack?

However, it is not as easy as it seems. Because, when you ask for even money, you have no way of knowing whether the dealer will hit a blackjack or not. Now, if you decline the even money and the dealer does not manage to hit a blackjack, you get $30. Whereas, for accepting the even money beforehand you only get $20. Now there is also a chance that, if you decline the proposition and the dealer hits a blackjack then you are left with nothing. But, what are the chances of that happening? Let’s take a look here:

It is a six-deck game, so there are about 312 cards. Out of them, 96 are ten-value cards. Now if you hit a blackjack and the dealer flaunts an Ace, then there are about 309 cards. And out of them, 95 are ten-value cards. So the chance that the dealer has a ten-value in their downcard is about 95:309. That is about 30.7%. It means that the dealer might hit a jackpot about 30.7% of the time. However, it also means that the chance that they will not hit a jackpot is about 69.3%.

Is it truly worth it?

Now with the percentages, we got from above let us see what it means if you decline the even-money proposition. Basically, it means that if you decline the proposition, there is a chance that you will end up with nothing about 30.7% times. But it also means that you will gain $30 about 69.3% of the time. Because the calculation shows that the chance the dealer will not hit a jackpot is about 69.3% times. So, you are smart enough to realize which will be more profitable to you in the long run. Be absolutely sure that the casino is not offering a sure shot win because they are feeling generous. They are only offering you that chance because if you accept the proposition they are going to get that $10 house edge 69.3% of the time. Which adds up to a lot of money if you think about it.


For people who want a steady flow without the risk of ending up with nothing, this might seem like the safest option. But for people who are willing to take that risk to win more, the even-money proposition is possibly not worth it. Now you are smart enough to choose for yourself. So remember these stats when you play next, and decide wisely.

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